Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 94.737008 105.400862 116.404257 128.579548 141.647238 155.225243 170.373346
2025-03-09 73.183691 88.313363 104.808351 124.008855 145.624268 169.089191 196.368542
2025-03-16 59.046767 77.037650 97.693082 122.862879 152.402080 185.675095 225.683619
2025-03-23 50.667364 71.007546 95.469685 126.484729 164.178165 207.936310 261.986008
2025-03-30 43.415701 65.213225 92.609920 128.637637 173.814562 227.661860 295.723162
2025-04-06 36.731625 59.143995 88.561026 128.616382 180.325839 243.456343 324.910755
2025-04-13 31.455743 54.187128 85.280582 129.005825 186.956894 259.229475 354.169841
2025-04-20 28.260957 51.692839 84.919684 132.942942 197.998845 280.557955 390.596052
2025-04-27 25.247270 49.031687 83.972186 135.816703 207.511397 299.978012 424.871784
2025-05-04 22.995050 47.223981 83.990593 139.845947 218.503828 321.388389 461.955205
2025-05-11 20.708990 45.043519 83.201351 142.539338 227.595106 340.365511 496.132225
2025-05-18 16.810628 39.576593 76.892131 136.734155 224.502835 342.901235 508.716692
2025-05-25 14.008028 35.666706 72.721999 133.893642 225.532050 351.111262 529.181781
2025-06-01 12.123863 33.178535 70.618055 134.016926 230.742380 365.080780 557.577527
2025-06-08 10.696213 31.358350 69.450099 135.471335 237.866450 381.784309 589.921572
2025-06-15 10.020023 30.994715 70.745133 140.854489 250.921664 406.981700 634.203862
2025-06-22 9.095650 29.938472 70.700170 144.010935 260.663318 427.653836 672.580873
2025-06-29 7.929204 28.117499 69.084696 144.441347 266.197290 442.385945 702.933144
2025-07-06 6.934238 26.505241 67.691429 145.112615 272.037458 457.583714 734.083287
2025-07-13 6.443748 26.069466 68.501108 149.534715 283.781166 481.462158 777.655668
2025-07-20 5.878406 25.326795 68.629103 152.738280 293.637030 502.708000 817.763101
2025-07-27 5.477769 24.958153 69.459001 157.164392 305.484292 526.996830 862.410776
2025-08-03 4.986999 24.229993 69.479859 160.117068 315.000318 547.959852 902.560905